Inequality to Equilibrium – 15‑Year Roadmap

From pressurised Pareto inequality (Gini ≈ 0.83) to thermodynamic equilibrium (Gini ≈ 0.50)

Four phased transitions – each with specific actions, fiscal costs, and macro effects on growth and unemployment.

Gini Transition Track
Initial state: Gini ≈ 0.83 (pressurised, Pareto‑dominated) Target band: Gini 0.48 – 0.52 (thermodynamic equilibrium)
0.83 Current
0.60 Phase 3
0.50 Equilibrium
High‑inequality, Pareto regime
Boltzmann‑Gibbs equilibrium window
15‑Year Implementation Roadmap
Phase 1 – Design & Pilot
Years 0–3
Gini shift: 0.83 → 0.78 (first 5 points of pressure released)
Legislation Infrastructure Pilot
Key Actions
  • Draft and pass enabling legislation for UBC / redistribution mechanisms.
  • Build digital rails: identity (KYC), tax, benefits, and payments integration.
  • Run pilot with 100k–1M people across diverse regions.
Macro & Fiscal KPIs
Annual Programme Spend
$5–15B
Pilots + core infrastructure
GDP Growth Uplift
+0.2–0.3 pp
From increased demand & confidence
Unemployment Change
−0.3 to −0.5 pp
Early labour‑market response
Population Coverage
1–3%
Pilot cohorts only
Phase 2 – Early Scaling
Years 3–7
Gini shift: 0.78 → 0.70 (transition out of extreme zone)
Scaling Bottom 50% System Integration
Key Actions
  • Expand to 20–40% of population, prioritising bottom 50% by wealth.
  • Fully integrate tax, welfare, and UBC rails for seamless flows.
  • Start structural reforms in education, housing, and SME finance.
Macro & Fiscal KPIs
Annual Programme Spend
$50–150B
Scaling core mechanisms
GDP Growth Uplift
+0.4–0.6 pp
Broadening aggregate demand
Unemployment Change
−0.8 to −1.0 pp
Tighter labour markets
Population Coverage
20–40%
Lower 50% largely onboarded
Phase 3 – Broad Implementation
Years 7–11
Gini shift: 0.70 → 0.58–0.60 (approaching equilibrium band)
Universalisation Entrepreneurship Human Capital
Key Actions
  • Extend coverage to 60–80% of the population (bottom 90% by design).
  • UBC and redistribution mechanisms operate continuously and at scale.
  • First large cohorts complete education and housing investments; entrepreneurship takes off.
Macro & Fiscal KPIs
Annual Programme Spend
$200–600B
Full‑scale deployment costs
GDP Growth Uplift
+0.8–1.2 pp
Productivity + demand effects
Unemployment Change
−1.5 pp
Converging to 3–4% range
Population Coverage
60–80%
Bottom 90% essentially covered
Phase 4 – Equilibrium & Fine‑Tuning
Years 11–15
Gini stabilisation: 0.58 → 0.48–0.52 (thermodynamic equilibrium)
Equilibrium Resilience Guardrails
Key Actions
  • Shift from rollout to optimisation: minimise fraud, capture, and re‑concentration.
  • Institutionalise automatic stabilisers that keep inequality within the 0.48–0.52 band.
  • Focus on long‑run innovation, mobility, and intergenerational opportunity.
Macro & Fiscal KPIs
Annual Programme Spend
$500–1,200B
Steady‑state investment level
GDP Growth Uplift
+1.5 pp (sustained)
Relative to low‑growth baseline
Unemployment Band
2.5–3.5%
Near natural rate
Inequality Band
Gini 0.48–0.52
Self‑stabilising equilibrium